The Pro Football Hall of Fame Quarterback vs. Non-Hall of Fame Quarterback Challenge (Part 1)

It’s late Tuesday evening and we are that much closer to Kickoff 2010.  To celebrate the beginning of what will prove to be yet another great football season, we will count down the remaining five weeks to the season’s opening kickoff with a five-part series of weekly posts that will explore the reasons why some NFL quarterbacks are enshrined in Canton, Ohio, and others patiently (or impatiently) await induction.  This is not your standard barroom discussion or argument over who is the best quarterback of all-time (<cough> Johnny Unitas! <cough>).  Rather, this five-part series represents weeks of extensive statistical analysis I performed a few months ago that offers explanations as to why, for instance, Joe Namath is in the Hall and Earl Morrall is not.

Furthermore, we will look at exactly how relevant player stats like career passing yards, career touchdowns, career completion percentage, and career Super Bowl victories are to the Hall’s answer to Shakespeare’s great question: to induct, or not to induct.  I am sure you also know by now that “The Bard” himself, yeah old Billy Shakes, was a rabid Dallas Cowboys fan, too.

This week, we begin with an introduction to the problem at hand.  Next week, though, we will view our first descriptive statistics.  Please open the .pdf file by clicking the link below.  For your convenience, I included an appendix with my data set and samples at the end of each weekly installment.

If you have any questions, concerns, or anything else to add, please feel free to post your comments here or send me an email.  If you use any material I present herein for academic purposes, just be mindful to write proper citations and/or contact me directly through this blog or email.

The next few weeks will feature heavy statistical theory and relatively complex models and I would be more than happy to explain anything you may not recognize – it can get a bit cryptic.  Lastly, I paid close attention to detail and did my utmost to provide a quality product; nevertheless, should you catch a mistake, a correction would be much appreciated.

Enjoy!

Hall of Fame QBs (Part 1)

Cam Suarez-Bitar.

Thank you all for reading my blog and for your continued support (by the way, Mr. Bryant, an article on fantasy football will follow our five-week trip through the wonderful world of statistics and the great Pro Football Hall of Fame).

 

Surprisingly, Ken Stabler has yet to be inducted to the Pro Football Hall of Fame.

 

 

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  1. Wow. Well done so far. I thought I knew quite a few but was I wrong. I want to see the reaction when I let a few of my friends know some of the snubs.

    • Thanks! It really is surprising that some of these guys are not in. Cunningham (may take some time but he will get in eventually) , Stabler, Morrall, Hadl, Manning, and Gabriel are a few shockers…

    • Mat Masters
    • August 11th, 2010

    After reading this introductory segment of your research, I can’t wait to see what comes next. I have a few thoughts on how certain metrics are applied, which I will outline in further detail after reading the next post. Here’s a hint at where I may be going:

    Don’t scroll down before reading the stats…

    QB1: 186 career starts. 40,239 career yards. 290 TDs. 54.6 comp. pct.

    QB2: 175 career starts. 38,147 career yards. 261 TDs. 58.5 comp. pct.

    QB1: Johnny Unitas

    QB2: Dave Krieg

    • Thanks for your feedback.

      It can be a bit perplexing to see some Hall of Fame vs. non Hall of Fame numbers and how the former, at times, is outperformed on many statistical levels by non-inductees. We’ll take a look at a few things in the upcoming weeks that will demystify the similarities between your Johnny Unitas/Dave Krieg example. It comes down to a few items I’ll address at this project’s conclusion that one would perhaps not expect.

      Dan Fouts, for example, is a bit of an anomaly at first glance. Primarily, he is in for two reasons and each will become evident as we move forward with our study.

      Thanks for your interest. Let’s keep the conversation going.

      –Cam Suarez-Bitar.

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